Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Vallecano
29.8%
Draw
24.6%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Vallecano
vs
0.84
Valencia
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).