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23 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.5%
Annan Athletic
23.7%
Draw
22.8%
Kelty Hearts

Expected Goals (xG)

1.90

Annan Athletic

vs
1.18

Kelty Hearts

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).