Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.8%
Oxford
16.6%
Draw
11.6%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Oxford
vs
0.73
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
12.5%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-0
5.2%
0-0
4.6%
0-1
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).