Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Leyton Orient
32.8%
Draw
29.7%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Leyton Orient
vs
0.78
Northampton
Markets
BTTS32.2%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.550.3%
Over 2.524.4%
Over 3.59.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.6%
1-0
17.3%
0-1
14.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
0-2
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
2.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).