Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Vicenza
29.3%
Draw
52.7%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Vicenza
vs
1.44
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).