Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Malmö FF
22.6%
Draw
16.6%
Norrköping
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Malmö FF
vs
1.01
Norrköping
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.6%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).