Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.2%
Porto
9.3%
Draw
2.5%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71
Porto
vs
0.28
Boavista
Markets
BTTS22.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.4%
3-0
16.6%
1-0
13.8%
4-0
11.3%
5-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-1
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
0-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).