Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Arouca
19.3%
Draw
12.2%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Arouca
vs
0.88
AVS
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).