Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.3%
Sociedad
9.5%
Draw
4.2%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
3.26
Sociedad
vs
0.66
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.554.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
4-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-0
6.1%
1-1
4.4%
5-1
4.0%
3-2
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).