Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
Dresden
26.2%
Draw
33.5%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Dresden
vs
1.44
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).