Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Burnley
28.7%
Draw
26.1%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Burnley
vs
1.13
Wolves
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).