Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Maidenhead
25.2%
Draw
20.9%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Maidenhead
vs
1.03
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).