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HHT: 20CSV

21 Feb 2021 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.1%
Wurzburger Kickers
17.8%
Draw
70.1%
Hamburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Wurzburger Kickers

vs
2.56

Hamburg

Markets

BTTS59.5%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.3%
Over 3.548.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
8.0%
0-3
7.8%
0-1
6.5%
1-4
5.1%
0-4
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
2-3
4.0%
2-1
3.7%
0-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).