Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Sevilla
25.4%
Draw
29.7%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Sevilla
vs
1.25
Girona
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).