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AHT: 02CSV

09 Mar 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.9%
Reims
36.0%
Draw
30.1%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Reims

vs
0.69

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS25.9%
Over 0.577.3%
Over 1.541.9%
Over 2.517.9%
Over 3.56.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
22.7%
1-0
18.4%
0-1
16.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
3-0
1.7%
2-2
1.6%
0-3
1.3%
3-1
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).