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HHT: 10CSV

22 Oct 2019 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.1%
Cheltenham
26.6%
Draw
43.3%
Macclesfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Cheltenham

vs
1.32

Macclesfield

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).