Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.8%
Sp Lisbon
5.3%
Draw
1.9%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
3.69
Sp Lisbon
vs
0.44
Vizela
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.6%
Over 2.578.0%
Over 3.559.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.4%
4-0
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
5-0
9.1%
1-0
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
4-1
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
5-1
4.1%
1-1
2.5%
0-0
1.5%
3-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).