Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.7%
Frosinone
19.6%
Draw
8.7%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Frosinone
vs
0.63
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
1-0
12.5%
3-0
10.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).