Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.2%
Vitória Guimarães
24.7%
Draw
64.0%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Vitória Guimarães
vs
1.69
Porto
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
0-2
15.0%
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-0
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
0-4
3.6%
2-1
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
1-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).