Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Valladolid
21.2%
Draw
51.7%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Valladolid
vs
2.04
Santander
Markets
BTTS66.1%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
1-1
9.0%
2-2
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
4.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).