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17 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Genk

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.7%
Waregem
23.2%
Draw
46.1%
Genk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Waregem

vs
1.86

Genk

Markets

BTTS65.7%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
0-0
3.9%
0-3
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).