Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
AFC Wimbledon
25.5%
Draw
14.6%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.56
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS32.7%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.7%
2-0
14.2%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
1-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).