Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Werder Bremen
24.6%
Draw
19.4%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Werder Bremen
vs
0.98
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).