Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Rennes
22.5%
Draw
34.0%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Rennes
vs
1.52
Lyon
Markets
BTTS64.3%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).