Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Strasbourg
19.5%
Draw
14.9%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Strasbourg
vs
0.81
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).