Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.5%
Paris SG
22.0%
Draw
13.6%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Paris SG
vs
0.62
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
14.3%
1-1
9.7%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).