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HHT: 11CSV

07 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.9%
Rotherham
24.1%
Draw
29.0%
Fleetwood Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Rotherham

vs
1.08

Fleetwood Town

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).