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01 Sept 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.3%
Besiktas
21.1%
Draw
9.6%
Sivasspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.38

Besiktas

vs
0.85

Sivasspor

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.4%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).