Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.6%
Erzgebirge Aue
19.4%
Draw
67.0%
Hannover
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
2.38
Hannover
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-1
8.9%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
7.6%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-4
4.6%
0-4
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).