Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Galatasaray
28.9%
Draw
7.5%
Kocaelispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Galatasaray
vs
0.43
Kocaelispor
Markets
BTTS30.1%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.9%
2-0
16.7%
0-0
15.7%
1-1
11.4%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
0-1
3.5%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
2.0%
2-2
1.6%
4-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).