Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Everton
33.3%
Draw
21.2%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Everton
vs
0.76
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.5%
1-0
15.0%
1-1
14.6%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).