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25 Oct 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.7%
Ein Frankfurt
23.2%
Draw
17.2%
St Pauli

Expected Goals (xG)

1.94

Ein Frankfurt

vs
0.95

St Pauli

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.4%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).