Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Aldershot
17.1%
Draw
13.1%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Aldershot
vs
1.14
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-1
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
4-0
4.8%
3-2
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
4-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).