Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Aston Villa
25.9%
Draw
19.3%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Aston Villa
vs
1.01
West Ham
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.0%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).