Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.0%
Notts County
17.2%
Draw
11.8%
Boreham Wood
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Notts County
vs
1.01
Boreham Wood
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.548.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.0%
3-0
8.0%
1-1
7.7%
1-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
4-0
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.6%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).