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AHT: 01CSV

16 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.8%
Schalke 04
21.8%
Draw
61.4%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Schalke 04

vs
2.10

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS56.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.538.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
8.5%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.8%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.6%
0-4
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).