⚽ FootballData
Crewe

Home

3 – 1
HHT: 31CSV

17 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Barrow

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
54.8%
Crewe
23.9%
Draw
21.3%
Barrow

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Crewe

vs
0.90

Barrow

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).