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08 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.8%
Bradford
26.1%
Draw
26.1%
Grimsby

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Bradford

vs
0.95

Grimsby

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).