Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.1%
Scunthorpe
18.7%
Draw
21.2%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Scunthorpe
vs
1.60
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS74.9%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.580.1%
Over 3.562.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-2
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
4-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-2
3.8%
2-3
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).