Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.9%
Gil Vicente
16.7%
Draw
8.4%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Gil Vicente
vs
0.54
Boavista
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.7%
1-0
15.0%
3-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.6%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
6.0%
0-1
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).