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04 Oct 2023 · 17:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.4%
St Etienne
24.5%
Draw
37.1%
Dunkerque

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

St Etienne

vs
1.27

Dunkerque

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).