Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Forest Green
28.4%
Draw
29.3%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Forest Green
vs
0.93
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).