Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Hertha
28.9%
Draw
21.0%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Hertha
vs
0.87
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).