Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
22.6%
Draw
67.5%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
1.97
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.1%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
10.6%
0-3
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.5%
1-3
6.0%
0-4
4.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.0%
1-4
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).