Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Las Palmas
25.5%
Draw
16.8%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Las Palmas
vs
0.69
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).