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AHT: 02CSV

18 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.7%
Crotone
25.0%
Draw
28.3%
Pescara

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Crotone

vs
1.37

Pescara

Markets

BTTS63.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
4.7%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).