Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Espanol
26.1%
Draw
12.8%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Espanol
vs
0.51
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS30.5%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.5%
2-0
14.9%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-0
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).