Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Crystal Palace
29.2%
Draw
39.3%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Crystal Palace
vs
1.42
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).