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AHT: 01

09 Nov 2025 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.8%
Legia Warszawa
24.3%
Draw
16.9%
Nieciecza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Legia Warszawa

vs
0.89

Nieciecza

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).