Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.0%
Barnet
22.5%
Draw
17.6%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Barnet
vs
0.80
Newport County
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).